Sergipe vs Olímpico SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 0
SER
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
BOC
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OSE
0 - 2
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OSE
2 - 0
AME
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
AME
0 - 0
OSE
37%
26%
36%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
OSE
0 - 2
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 2
OSE
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
OSE
3 - 0
RIP
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +4 |