Sergipe vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
35.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
PAY
3 - 0
SER
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SER
2 - 3
CEA
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
ABC
2 - 0
SER
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SER
0 - 0
SAM
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 1
SER
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
NAU
1 - 1
PAY
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NAU
1 - 0
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2001 |
CEA
1 - 2
NAU
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
NAU
4 - 0
ABC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
REM
1 - 2
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |