Sergipe vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
SER
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
GUA
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
SER
0 - 3
SDF
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 0
AME
58%
23%
20%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
EST
1 - 1
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
SER
36%
25%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
OSE
0 - 0
ITA
49%
26%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
SOC
1 - 4
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |