Sergipe vs Fluminense PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
BOT
10%
20%
70%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2023 |
ATG
0 - 0
SER
14%
21%
65%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
SER
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
VIT
17%
23%
59%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 4
PPE
13%
19%
68%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
COR
1 - 2
FPI
14%
18%
69%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
2 - 5
CEA
10%
22%
68%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
FPI
1 - 2
CAM
36%
24%
39%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
FPI
69%
17%
15%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |