Sergipe vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
SER
38%
27%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
ARN
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SER
4 - 1
EST
69%
19%
13%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LAG
1 - 3
SER
25%
27%
49%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
88%
9%
3%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
BOT
10%
17%
73%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
4 - 2
VIT
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 2
CAM
66%
21%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SPB
1 - 2
BOT
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ARN
3 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |