Sered vs DAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
SER
2 - 3
RUZ
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ZIL
3 - 0
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ZMO
2 - 1
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SER
1 - 0
POD
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
BUD
1 - 1
SER
59%
21%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
DAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
DAC
3 - 1
LIP
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
DAC
0 - 2
PAR
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ZEM
4 - 1
DAC
20%
24%
57%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 0
DAC
55%
22%
23%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
DAC
2 - 1
UJP
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |