Septemvri Sofia vs Lokomotiv Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
5º
4º
47
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
47 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
45 | 12 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
49 | 7 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2025 |
SEP
1 - 0
HEB
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
CSK
2 - 0
SEP
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2025 |
SEP
3 - 1
SSO
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
BVR
3 - 2
SEP
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 0
LPL
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2025 |
LSO
2 - 1
CSK
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SSO
0 - 0
LSO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
LSO
3 - 0
BVR
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
LPL
1 - 1
LSO
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LSO
3 - 0
FLK
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |