Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Vratsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
10º
16º
11º
21
13º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
0 - 3
TER
27%
23%
50%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
1 - 2
SHK
36%
25%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
3 - 0
OBO
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
VAR
0 - 1
SEP
24%
23%
53%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
SEP
2 - 1
STR
77%
15%
8%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Botev Vratsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
BVR
5 - 1
LOV
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
BVR
3 - 0
SPO
71%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
BVR
1 - 1
MON
37%
25%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
BVR
5 - 0
BEL
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
LOK
0 - 1
BVR
10%
16%
74%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | +1 |