Septemvri Simitli vs Spartak Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 0
SEP
71%
19%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BVR
3 - 1
SEP
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SEP
1 - 0
DOB
25%
27%
48%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SEP
2 - 1
VER
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 0
CHB
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
SOZ
37%
27%
36%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
BVR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
DOB
3 - 0
SVA
67%
21%
12%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
SVA
0 - 3
BAN
21%
26%
53%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 1
VER
48%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |