Septemvri Simitli vs Pirin Razlog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+82%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Septemvri Simitli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 1
SEP
12%
21%
66%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 2
SEP
26%
26%
48%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
SEP
2 - 1
GER
77%
16%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
SEP
59%
23%
19%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 4
HEB
20%
23%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
FKM
2 - 2
PIR
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 0
PIR
77%
15%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
PIR
3 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CHA
3 - 1
PIR
75%
17%
8%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |