Senegal vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
SEN
1 - 0
EGY
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1986 |
SEN
3 - 1
SLE
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1986 |
SEN
1 - 0
GAM
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1986 |
SEN
1 - 0
MLI
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1986 |
SEN
2 - 1
GUI
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1986 |
CIV
3 - 0
MOZ
76%
15%
9%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1986 |
ALG
4 - 1
MOZ
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1985 |
ZIM
2 - 1
MOZ
64%
19%
18%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1985 |
ANG
0 - 0
MOZ
60%
20%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1985 |
ANG
1 - 0
MOZ
59%
20%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |