Senegal vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 1998 |
SEN
1 - 0
CPV
62%
23%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
MLI
1 - 0
SEN
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1997 |
GIN
1 - 2
SEN
46%
28%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1997 |
GMB
0 - 0
SEN
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
SEN
2 - 0
CPV
61%
24%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1998 |
MLI
0 - 1
TUN
30%
28%
42%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
TGO
0 - 4
MLI
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1998 |
TGO
2 - 1
MLI
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
BFA
0 - 0
MLI
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
MLI
1 - 0
SEN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |