Senegal vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1993 |
SEN
4 - 0
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
MLI
1 - 0
SEN
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
ZMB
4 - 0
SEN
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
ZWE
2 - 0
SEN
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1993 |
SEN
0 - 0
ZMB
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1993 |
MLI
3 - 0
GNQ
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1993 |
GNQ
1 - 0
ALB
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 1993 |
GNQ
2 - 1
GIN
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 1991 |
SEN
4 - 0
GNQ
62%
23%
15%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1991 |
CPV
2 - 1
GNQ
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |