Sénart Moissy vs Alfortville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sénart Moissy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
AUX
1 - 1
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
DRA
32%
29%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
POI
2 - 1
SEN
61%
23%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
SEN
1 - 3
AAC
36%
28%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
IVR
4 - 0
SEN
70%
20%
11%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DRA
1 - 1
ALF
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ALF
0 - 1
AAC
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
ALF
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ALF
2 - 2
DUN
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 3
ALF
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |