Zambia vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.8%
14.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
ZMB
4 - 0
ETH
65%
17%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
ETH
0 - 0
ZMB
50%
21%
29%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
ZMB
1 - 1
MWI
61%
19%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1980 |
ZWE
2 - 1
ZMB
42%
22%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
ZMB
2 - 0
TZA
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1980 |
ZWE
2 - 1
ZMB
42%
22%
36%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
ZWE
6 - 0
MOZ
38%
22%
40%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 01 Dec. 1969 |
MWI
2 - 2
ZWE
30%
25%
45%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
ZWE
1 - 1
MWI
78%
14%
9%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1969 |
ZWE
4 - 0
MWI
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |