Zambia vs Eritrea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
ZAM
3 - 0
MOZ
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
MOZ
0 - 3
ZAM
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
SLE
0 - 2
ZAM
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CIV
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
ZAM
11%
18%
72%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Eritrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
NAM
2 - 0
ERI
73%
18%
9%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
ERI
1 - 2
NAM
7%
14%
79%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BOT
3 - 1
ERI
76%
17%
7%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ERI
0 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
68%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
SDN
3 - 0
ERI
84%
12%
5%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | -1 |