Zambia vs Botsuana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
10.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
SWZ
1 - 0
ZMB
12%
21%
67%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
ZMB
1 - 2
LSO
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
SDN
0 - 1
ZMB
27%
26%
48%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 2
ZMB
31%
26%
43%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
SEN
3 - 1
ZMB
60%
23%
17%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Botsuana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BWA
4 - 0
LSO
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
ZAF
1 - 0
BWA
72%
19%
9%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
DZA
5 - 0
BWA
84%
12%
4%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
BWA
0 - 1
ZWE
23%
26%
51%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
BWA
1 - 0
ZMB
17%
25%
58%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |