CAF Qualifying Grupo A round 5

Djibouti vs Tunisia analysis

Djibouti Tunisia
34 ELO 82
14.8% Tilt 25.2%
7850º General ELO ranking 319º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
10.1%
Djibouti
19.3%
Draw
70.6%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
Djibouti
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70.6%
Win probability
Tunisia
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Djibouti
+26%
-3%
Tunisia

ELO progression

Djibouti
Tunisia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Djibouti
Djibouti
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2016
LBR
Liberia
5 - 0
Djibouti
DJI
69%
20%
12%
35 58 23 0
24 Mar. 2016
DJI
Djibouti
0 - 1
Liberia
LBR
15%
19%
66%
35 58 23 0
17 Oct. 2015
SWZ
Swaziland
2 - 1
Djibouti
DJI
68%
19%
13%
35 52 17 0
09 Oct. 2015
DJI
Djibouti
0 - 6
Swaziland
SWZ
21%
21%
59%
36 52 16 -1
04 Sep. 2015
DJI
Djibouti
0 - 2
Togo
TOG
13%
19%
68%
37 64 27 -1

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Mar. 2016
TOG
Togo
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
18%
25%
57%
82 61 21 0
25 Mar. 2016
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Togo
TOG
75%
17%
8%
82 62 20 0
31 Jan. 2016
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 2
Mali
MLI
61%
23%
17%
82 77 5 0
26 Jan. 2016
NIG
Niger
0 - 5
Tunisia
TUN
14%
23%
63%
82 59 23 0
22 Jan. 2016
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 1
Nigeria
NGA
42%
28%
30%
82 86 4 0