Vanuatu vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
VUT
0 - 3
FJI
34%
28%
38%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1992 |
FJI
3 - 0
VUT
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1992 |
VUT
0 - 2
FJI
44%
23%
32%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 27 Jul. 1992 |
VUT
1 - 3
SLB
57%
21%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 1992 |
VUT
1 - 2
PYF
62%
20%
19%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1991 |
PNG
0 - 1
VUT
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1991 |
PNG
0 - 0
CYM
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1990 |
FJI
1 - 0
PNG
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1990 |
CYM
1 - 0
PNG
50%
22%
28%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1990 |
VUT
1 - 0
PNG
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |