WC Qual. Asia 4th Round Round 3

Uzbekistan vs South Korea analysis

Uzbekistan South Korea
78 ELO 90
-3.4% Tilt 10%
413º General ELO ranking 98º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.3%
Uzbekistan
24.2%
Draw
58.5%
South Korea

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
Uzbekistan
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.5%
Win probability
South Korea
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Uzbekistan
+11%
+2%
South Korea

ELO progression

Uzbekistan
South Korea
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Uzbekistan
Uzbekistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2012
LBN
Lebanon
1 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
19%
22%
60%
78 60 18 0
03 Jun. 2012
UZB
Uzbekistan
0 - 1
Iran
IRN
21%
26%
53%
78 89 11 0
29 Feb. 2012
JPN
Japan
0 - 1
Uzbekistan
UZB
74%
17%
9%
79 91 12 -1
25 Feb. 2012
KOR
South Korea
4 - 2
Uzbekistan
UZB
71%
19%
10%
79 91 12 0
29 Jan. 2012
UAE
UAE
1 - 0
Uzbekistan
UZB
44%
24%
32%
80 77 3 -1

Matches

South Korea
South Korea
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Aug. 2012
KOR
South Korea
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
72%
19%
10%
90 79 11 0
12 Jun. 2012
KOR
South Korea
3 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
78%
15%
7%
90 61 29 0
08 Jun. 2012
QAT
Qatar
1 - 4
South Korea
KOR
18%
26%
57%
90 80 10 0
30 May. 2012
ESP
Spain
4 - 1
South Korea
KOR
80%
14%
6%
90 98 8 0
29 Feb. 2012
KOR
South Korea
2 - 0
Kuwait
KWT
72%
19%
9%
91 82 9 -1