Uruguay vs Paraguay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Uruguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1977 |
URU
1 - 1
ECU
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
URU
0 - 0
PER
58%
22%
21%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
ECU
2 - 2
URU
32%
26%
43%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1976 |
COL
1 - 2
URU
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1977 |
PAR
1 - 1
URU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
PAR
2 - 0
ECU
77%
14%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1976 |
BRA
3 - 1
PAR
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1976 |
PAR
1 - 0
URU
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1976 |
ARG
2 - 2
PAR
75%
17%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |