URSS vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URSS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1975 |
SUN
3 - 0
YUG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1975 |
SUN
2 - 1
IRL
76%
17%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1975 |
YUG
1 - 1
SUN
7%
18%
75%
|
88 | 34 | 54 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
SUN
3 - 0
TUR
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1974 |
IRL
3 - 0
SUN
34%
29%
37%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1975 |
FIN
0 - 1
ITA
23%
26%
51%
|
91 | 53 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 0
BGR
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
NED
3 - 1
ITA
39%
27%
33%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ITA
42%
27%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |