Tunisia vs Sao Tome and Principe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
11.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
16.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
17.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
JPN
2 - 0
TUN
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
4 - 0
TUN
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
EGY
1 - 3
TUN
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
TUN
3 - 0
BOT
79%
16%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 1
TUN
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sao Tome and Principe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
NGA
6 - 0
STP
90%
8%
2%
|
39 | 84 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
GNB
14%
18%
68%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
STP
0 - 2
SLE
15%
19%
67%
|
40 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2023 |
SLE
2 - 2
STP
67%
19%
14%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
STP
0 - 10
NGA
8%
18%
74%
|
40 | 85 | 45 | 0 |