Tunisia vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 2
CHE
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
EGY
0 - 1
TUN
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
GAB
2 - 2
PRT
10%
21%
70%
|
70 | 93 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TGO
2 - 1
GAB
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
TGO
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ZAF
3 - 0
GAB
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
BFA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |