Africa Cup of Nations Group E Round 1

Tunisia vs Namibia analysis

Tunisia Namibia
84 ELO 68
-11.4% Tilt -12.4%
315º General ELO ranking 2381º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.3%
Tunisia
18%
Draw
8.8%
Namibia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
Tunisia
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
8.8%
Win probability
Namibia
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tunisia
-3%
-11%
Namibia

ELO progression

Tunisia
Namibia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Cape Verde
CPV
74%
18%
9%
84 69 15 0
06 Jan. 2024
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 0
Mauritania
MTN
78%
15%
6%
84 66 18 0
21 Nov. 2023
MWI
Malawi
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
17%
24%
59%
84 63 21 0
17 Nov. 2023
TUN
Tunisia
4 - 0
Sao Tome and Principe
STP
89%
9%
2%
84 39 45 0
17 Oct. 2023
JPN
Japan
2 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
75%
16%
10%
84 90 6 0

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2024
GHA
Ghana
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
66%
21%
12%
66 81 15 0
21 Nov. 2023
STP
Sao Tome and Principe
0 - 2
Namibia
NAM
11%
18%
72%
66 39 27 0
15 Nov. 2023
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
38%
27%
35%
67 66 1 -1
09 Sep. 2023
RSA
South Africa
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
65%
22%
13%
66 80 14 +1
11 Jul. 2023
NAM
Namibia
0 - 0
Botswana
BOT
57%
25%
18%
67 61 6 -1