Tunisia vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
2 - 0
CPV
74%
18%
9%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
MTN
78%
15%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 1
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
TUN
4 - 0
STP
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
2 - 0
RSA
46%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
MLI
6 - 2
GNB
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 1
CTA
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
MLI
3 - 1
CHA
84%
13%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
KSA
1 - 3
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |