Togo vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBR
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COD
1 - 0
TOG
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
SSD
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
LBR
0 - 3
ALG
11%
20%
70%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 0
EQG
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
UGA
1 - 2
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 2
GUI
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |