AFCON Qualifying Group E Round 4

Togo vs Algeria analysis

Togo Algeria
65 ELO 86
-11.1% Tilt -15.1%
2270º General ELO ranking 186º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11%
Togo
20.7%
Draw
68.3%
Algeria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
Togo
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
68.3%
Win probability
Algeria
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Togo
-5%
-1%
Algeria

ELO progression

Togo
Algeria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Togo
Togo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2024
ALG
Algeria
5 - 1
Togo
TOG
85%
11%
4%
65 86 21 0
09 Sep. 2024
EQG
Equatorial Guinea
2 - 2
Togo
TOG
42%
27%
31%
65 66 1 0
06 Sep. 2024
TOG
Togo
1 - 1
Liberia
LBR
61%
22%
17%
65 56 9 0
09 Jun. 2024
COD
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
1 - 0
Togo
TOG
61%
22%
17%
66 74 8 -1
05 Jun. 2024
TOG
Togo
1 - 1
South Sudan
SSD
66%
19%
15%
66 48 18 0

Matches

Algeria
Algeria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2024
ALG
Algeria
5 - 1
Togo
TOG
85%
11%
4%
86 65 21 0
10 Sep. 2024
LBR
Liberia
0 - 3
Algeria
ALG
10%
20%
70%
86 56 30 0
05 Sep. 2024
ALG
Algeria
2 - 0
Equatorial Guinea
EQG
83%
12%
5%
86 66 20 0
10 Jun. 2024
UGA
Uganda
1 - 2
Algeria
ALG
14%
24%
63%
86 68 18 0
06 Jun. 2024
ALG
Algeria
1 - 2
Guinea
GUI
75%
16%
9%
86 74 12 0