WC Qual. Africa Grupo A round 9

Togo vs Libya analysis

Togo Libya
64 ELO 71
-9% Tilt -3.6%
2207º General ELO ranking 2076º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
31.2%
Togo
26.6%
Draw
42.1%
Libya

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
Togo
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
42.2%
Win probability
Libya
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Togo
-5%
+16%
Libya

ELO progression

Togo
Libya
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Togo
Togo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2001
CMR
Cameroon
2 - 0
Togo
TOG
77%
15%
7%
63 84 21 0
06 May. 2001
TOG
Togo
3 - 2
Zambia
ZAM
21%
25%
54%
62 79 17 +1
11 Mar. 2001
TOG
Togo
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
23%
26%
51%
62 75 13 0
23 Feb. 2001
LBY
Libya
3 - 3
Togo
TOG
61%
23%
17%
62 73 11 0
28 Jan. 2001
TOG
Togo
0 - 2
Cameroon
CMR
15%
23%
61%
62 84 22 0

Matches

Libya
Libya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2001
LBY
Libya
1 - 1
Angola
ANG
41%
26%
33%
72 75 3 0
22 Apr. 2001
CMR
Cameroon
1 - 0
Libya
LBY
69%
19%
12%
72 84 12 0
10 Mar. 2001
ZAM
Zambia
2 - 0
Libya
LBY
57%
23%
20%
73 79 6 -1
23 Feb. 2001
LBY
Libya
3 - 3
Togo
TOG
61%
23%
17%
73 62 11 0
28 Jan. 2001
ANG
Angola
3 - 1
Libya
LBY
50%
25%
26%
73 74 1 0