Sweden vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
AUT
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
SWE
4 - 1
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 51 | 36 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1971 |
ISR
2 - 1
SWE
28%
25%
47%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
SWE
1 - 0
IRL
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
IRL
1 - 1
SWE
33%
26%
41%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1971 |
IRL
1 - 2
ITA
25%
27%
48%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1971 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
72%
18%
11%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1970 |
ITA
3 - 0
IRL
84%
11%
5%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
AUT
1 - 2
ITA
34%
27%
39%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
CHE
1 - 1
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
91 | 68 | 23 | 0 |