Sweden vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
6.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
46%
26%
28%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 1
DEN
49%
25%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
SWE
2 - 0
MDA
81%
14%
6%
|
89 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
LIE
0 - 2
SWE
10%
21%
69%
|
89 | 31 | 58 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SWE
1 - 4
AUT
57%
22%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
KNA
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
EST
3 - 0
GEO
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
SUI
13%
24%
63%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
72 | 94 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 0
EST
65%
21%
15%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |