Sweden vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
52.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
SWE
12 - 0
KOR
84%
9%
6%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 0
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 1948 |
SWE
3 - 2
AUT
67%
16%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1948 |
NLD
1 - 0
SWE
48%
20%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1947 |
ENG
4 - 2
SWE
68%
16%
16%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
DNK
5 - 3
ITA
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
DNK
3 - 1
EGY
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1948 |
DNK
8 - 0
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1948 |
FIN
0 - 3
DNK
35%
22%
44%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1948 |
DNK
1 - 2
NOR
75%
13%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |