Sudan vs New Zealand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
39.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
KEN
2 - 0
SDN
55%
21%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1981 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SDN
71%
16%
14%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1981 |
ZIM
0 - 0
SDN
68%
17%
16%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1981 |
UGA
2 - 2
SDN
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1981 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
50%
22%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
NZL
2 - 0
GHA
31%
23%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
AUS
0 - 2
NZL
78%
14%
9%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1983 |
NZL
2 - 1
AUS
37%
23%
40%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 1982 |
BRA
4 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
4%
|
67 | 95 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1982 |
SUN
3 - 0
NZL
86%
10%
5%
|
67 | 92 | 25 | 0 |