Sudan vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
46.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
COG
1 - 0
SDN
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2008 |
YEM
1 - 1
SDN
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
SDN
0 - 2
ERI
78%
14%
7%
|
65 | 29 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CMR
3 - 0
SDN
83%
13%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
EGY
3 - 0
SDN
92%
7%
2%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
TCD
1 - 2
MLI
12%
22%
66%
|
80 | 44 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
MLI
4 - 2
COG
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2008 |
CIV
3 - 0
MLI
72%
18%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2008 |
NGA
0 - 0
MLI
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2008 |
MLI
1 - 0
BEN
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |