Africa Cup of Nations Ghana/Nigeria Final

South Africa vs Tunisia analysis

South Africa Tunisia
82 ELO 83
-12.3% Tilt -4.3%
584º General ELO ranking 325º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.1%
South Africa
26.8%
Draw
27.1%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
South Africa
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.1%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
South Africa
+7%
-3%
Tunisia

ELO progression

South Africa
Tunisia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

South Africa
South Africa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2000
NGA
Nigeria
2 - 0
South Africa
RSA
49%
25%
26%
83 85 2 0
06 Feb. 2000
GHA
Ghana
0 - 1
South Africa
RSA
34%
27%
39%
83 80 3 0
02 Feb. 2000
RSA
South Africa
1 - 1
Algeria
ALG
53%
26%
21%
82 81 1 +1
27 Jan. 2000
RSA
South Africa
1 - 0
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
COD
62%
22%
16%
82 75 7 0
23 Jan. 2000
RSA
South Africa
3 - 1
Gabon
GAB
68%
19%
13%
82 68 14 0

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Feb. 2000
CMR
Cameroon
3 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
42%
28%
31%
84 81 3 0
07 Feb. 2000
EGY
Egypt
0 - 1
Tunisia
TUN
54%
25%
22%
83 85 2 +1
03 Feb. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 0
Congo
CGO
70%
18%
12%
83 71 12 0
29 Jan. 2000
TUN
Tunisia
0 - 0
Morocco
MAR
27%
27%
47%
83 88 5 0
23 Jan. 2000
NGA
Nigeria
4 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
48%
27%
26%
83 84 1 0