South Africa vs Mozambique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
0 - 0
MUS
78%
16%
6%
|
80 | 38 | 42 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
2 - 0
ZIM
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
0 - 0
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
RSA
2 - 0
MWI
73%
19%
8%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
MOZ
1 - 3
ZIM
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MUS
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
RSA
0 - 1
MOZ
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ALG
5 - 1
MOZ
84%
11%
5%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
MOZ
3 - 1
UGA
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |