Santa Amalia vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIA
2 - 3
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAM
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 0
PLA
56%
22%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
VIL
19%
24%
58%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JER
1 - 1
EXT
29%
28%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
DBN
0 - 0
JER
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
JER
3 - 0
HER
69%
19%
12%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
JER
0 - 3
ARR
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 3
JER
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |