Ireland vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
20.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
IRL
0 - 1
GRE
79%
15%
6%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
FRO
1 - 4
IRL
12%
23%
65%
|
90 | 51 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
IRL
1 - 6
DEU
17%
21%
61%
|
91 | 96 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
IRL
4 - 1
OMN
69%
20%
11%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
KAZ
1 - 2
IRL
14%
24%
62%
|
91 | 63 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SVK
0 - 1
GRC
38%
27%
35%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
GRC
0 - 0
BIH
65%
21%
14%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
GRC
2 - 0
LTU
73%
18%
9%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
LVA
1 - 2
GRC
19%
27%
55%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
2 - 3
GRC
53%
26%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |