WC Qual. Asia First Round Final
Global 6-0
Qatar vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.4%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
18.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.8%
3.4%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LKA
0 - 1
QAT
11%
21%
68%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
3 - 2
IRQ
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 1
OMA
44%
25%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2007 |
QAT
1 - 2
UAE
52%
23%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2007 |
VIE
1 - 1
QAT
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LKA
0 - 1
QAT
11%
21%
68%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
2 - 1
MAS
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
1 - 4
MAS
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
2 - 1
LKA
84%
12%
5%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2006 |
HTI
3 - 1
LKA
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 75 | 31 | 0 |