Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
URY
2 - 0
PRY
70%
16%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1967 |
PRY
1 - 0
BOL
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1967 |
CHL
4 - 2
PRY
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
4 - 1
PRY
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 1966 |
PRY
3 - 1
ECU
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1967 |
VEN
3 - 0
BOL
69%
16%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1967 |
ARG
5 - 1
VEN
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 89 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1967 |
URY
4 - 0
VEN
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1967 |
CHL
2 - 0
VEN
74%
15%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
VEN
3 - 6
PER
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |