Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
PAR
48%
25%
27%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
PAR
2 - 1
ECU
63%
23%
15%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
PAR
4 - 1
URU
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
PER
4 - 1
PAR
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 2
PAR
19%
27%
55%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
IRL
0 - 0
BRA
23%
24%
53%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
BRA
3 - 3
URU
77%
15%
8%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PER
1 - 1
BRA
14%
21%
66%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
JAM
90%
8%
2%
|
98 | 80 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
BRA
1 - 0
ECU
88%
9%
3%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |