Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
52.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
PAR
0 - 0
URU
42%
24%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1968 |
PAR
2 - 0
ARG
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 1967 |
PAR
1 - 1
ARG
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1967 |
PAR
5 - 3
VEN
72%
15%
12%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1967 |
URU
2 - 0
PAR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 1968 |
PER
0 - 4
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1968 |
PER
3 - 4
BRA
25%
24%
51%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
2 - 1
BRA
28%
24%
48%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 2
BRA
29%
24%
47%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1968 |
POR
0 - 2
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |