Paraguay vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
45.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PRY
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
GTM
1 - 0
PRY
48%
20%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1953 |
CRI
3 - 0
PRY
75%
13%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1953 |
PRY
2 - 1
BOL
75%
14%
11%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1953 |
PAN
0 - 2
PRY
47%
19%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1953 |
PRY
2 - 1
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
3 - 2
CHL
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
PER
1 - 0
BRA
37%
22%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
1 - 0
URY
70%
15%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1953 |
BRA
2 - 0
ECU
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 51 | 35 | 0 |