Papua New Guinea vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1996 |
PNG
1 - 1
SOL
59%
23%
18%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
VAN
3 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
2 - 2
PNG
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1993 |
VAN
1 - 0
PNG
44%
24%
33%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1991 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
68%
17%
15%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1996 |
SOL
1 - 1
VAN
58%
23%
19%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
72%
16%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1995 |
TAH
3 - 0
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1995 |
FIJ
3 - 1
VAN
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
VAN
3 - 0
PNG
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +4 |