New Zealand vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
73.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
MEX
5 - 1
NZL
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
TTO
0 - 0
NZL
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
UAE
2 - 0
NZL
67%
19%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
KSA
0 - 1
NZL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
NZL
0 - 1
JOR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
MEX
5 - 1
NZL
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
MEX
4 - 2
FIN
72%
18%
10%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2013 |
CRC
2 - 1
MEX
26%
25%
48%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 1
PAN
72%
18%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2013 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
44%
25%
31%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |