New Caledonia vs Malasia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2016 |
NZL
1 - 0
NCL
73%
18%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PYF
1 - 1
NCL
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
7 - 0
WSM
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PNG
1 - 1
NCL
17%
22%
61%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VUT
2 - 1
NCL
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Malasia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 0
MYS
25%
23%
52%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2016 |
TLS
0 - 3
MYS
7%
15%
77%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
MYS
3 - 0
TLS
80%
15%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
MMR
0 - 0
MYS
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MYS
0 - 0
MAC
76%
16%
8%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |