WC Qual. Europe Round 6

Norway vs Denmark analysis

Norway Denmark
74 ELO 86
1% Tilt -15.6%
171º General ELO ranking 74º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
35.1%
Norway
25.8%
Draw
39.1%
Denmark

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
Norway
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.1%
Win probability
Denmark
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Norway
+12%
-2%
Denmark

ELO progression

Norway
Denmark
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 1985
ITA
Italy
1 - 2
Norway
NOR
82%
14%
4%
74 92 18 0
10 Sep. 1985
NOR
Norway
3 - 0
Egypt
EGY
52%
23%
25%
73 77 4 +1
14 Aug. 1985
NOR
Norway
0 - 1
RD Germany
DDR
25%
28%
47%
73 89 16 0
05 Jun. 1985
NOR
Norway
4 - 2
Wales
WAL
35%
28%
38%
71 85 14 +2
22 May. 1985
SWE
Sweden
1 - 0
Norway
NOR
79%
14%
7%
72 86 14 -1

Matches

Denmark
Denmark
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 1985
DEN
Denmark
0 - 0
Switzerland
SUI
74%
17%
9%
85 81 4 0
25 Sep. 1985
SUN
URSS
1 - 0
Denmark
DEN
78%
15%
7%
86 93 7 -1
11 Sep. 1985
DEN
Denmark
0 - 3
Sweden
SWE
59%
22%
19%
86 87 1 0
05 Jun. 1985
DEN
Denmark
4 - 2
URSS
SUN
32%
28%
40%
85 93 8 +1
08 May. 1985
DEN
Denmark
4 - 1
RD Germany
DDR
45%
26%
29%
85 89 4 0