Norway vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
ITA
1 - 2
NOR
82%
14%
4%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1985 |
NOR
3 - 0
EGY
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1985 |
NOR
0 - 1
DDR
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
NOR
4 - 2
WLS
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +2 |
| 22 May. 1985 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
DNK
0 - 0
CHE
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1985 |
SUN
1 - 0
DNK
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1985 |
DNK
0 - 3
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1985 |
DNK
4 - 2
SUN
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1985 |
DNK
4 - 1
DDR
45%
26%
29%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |