Nigeria vs Zimbabwe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
NGA
1 - 0
GHA
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
ROU
3 - 0
NGA
67%
21%
13%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NGA
5 - 1
ZWE
68%
21%
12%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
DZA
2 - 5
NGA
31%
29%
40%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
LBY
0 - 1
NGA
29%
29%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Zimbabwe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2006 |
ZWE
0 - 2
SEN
27%
26%
48%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
ZWE
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2006 |
EGY
2 - 0
ZWE
79%
14%
7%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ZWE
1 - 1
ZMB
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NGA
5 - 1
ZWE
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |