Nigeria vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2024 |
GUI
2 - 0
NGA
27%
26%
48%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ZIM
1 - 1
NGA
15%
23%
62%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
NGA
1 - 1
LSO
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
MOZ
2 - 3
NGA
13%
23%
65%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
KSA
2 - 2
NGA
35%
27%
38%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
EQG
1 - 1
DJI
69%
18%
13%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
LBR
0 - 1
EQG
16%
21%
64%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
EQG
1 - 0
NAM
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
EQG
0 - 0
BFA
29%
28%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
LBY
1 - 1
EQG
35%
25%
40%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |