Nepal vs Bután analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BGD
2 - 0
NPL
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
IND
2 - 1
NPL
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
IRQ
1 - 1
NPL
83%
13%
4%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2004 |
OMN
2 - 1
NPL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 79 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Bután
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
NPL
3 - 1
BTN
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
IND
3 - 0
BTN
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
BGD
3 - 0
BTN
71%
17%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
YEM
4 - 0
BTN
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
BTN
0 - 4
SAU
4%
14%
82%
|
35 | 88 | 53 | 0 |