AFCON Qualifying Group K Round 3

Mozambique vs Namibia analysis

Mozambique Namibia
58 ELO 67
-16.9% Tilt -2.6%
2567º General ELO ranking 2415º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
24.1%
Mozambique
25.9%
Draw
50%
Namibia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.1%
Win probability
Mozambique
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50%
Win probability
Namibia
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mozambique
+1%
-14%
Namibia

ELO progression

Mozambique
Namibia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mozambique
Mozambique
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2018
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 2
Guinea-Bissau
GNB
38%
25%
37%
58 56 2 0
31 May. 2018
MOZ
Mozambique
2 - 1
Seychelles
SYC
67%
20%
13%
58 41 17 0
29 May. 2018
MOZ
Mozambique
3 - 0
Comoros
COM
72%
19%
10%
58 37 21 0
27 May. 2018
MAD
Madagascar
2 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
48%
25%
28%
59 62 3 -1
02 Sep. 2017
MOZ
Mozambique
1 - 1
Kenya
KEN
36%
28%
36%
59 61 2 0

Matches

Namibia
Namibia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2018
BOT
Botswana
1 - 0
Namibia
NAM
28%
27%
45%
67 61 6 0
08 Sep. 2018
NAM
Namibia
1 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
28%
27%
45%
66 75 9 +1
05 Jun. 2018
NAM
Namibia
1 - 4
South Africa
RSA
20%
24%
55%
67 81 14 -1
02 Jun. 2018
ZAM
Zambia
0 - 0
Namibia
NAM
58%
24%
19%
67 76 9 0
27 Mar. 2018
NAM
Namibia
2 - 1
Lesotho
LSO
64%
22%
14%
67 53 14 0